Authors: Tramberend, Peter;

Adaptation to climate change requires rethinking of land use management paradigms and strategies and proposing changes to existing practices to make them functional under future environmental conditions. The project combines (i) quantitative indicator-based assessments and cartographic representations of key ecosystem services in Austria and (ii) an agent-based model (ABM) for fine-scale climate-induced land use change. In two case study areas in central and eastern Austria, the agent-based model is implemented in three scenarios for the years 2017 to 2050, taking into account socio-economic and climate change. It provides predictions for land use at very high land parcel resolution. The changes caused by Climate change and land use change triggered changes in nine ecosystem services. (high nature value agricultural land, habitats and species, habitat type fragmentation, soil conservation, insect pollination, soil C sequestration, soil fertility, agricultural production, and drinking water) are subsequently derived, and land use policy tools and targeted recommendations to increase system resilience and address ecosystem service loss are identified.