Authors: Forsell, Nicklas;

During the last decade, a large body of work has been done to define cross-sectoral mitigation pathways at the global and regional levels that are consistent with reaching the Paris Agreement's goal of limiting global warming to well below 2 °C, preferably to 1.5 °C, compared to pre-industrial levels. Analysis has highlighted the critical role forests and land use sectors will play in pathways that are aligned with 1.5°C and 2°C temperature targets. However, there is less understanding of what the global and regional pathways mean for national and landscape level development. The aim of this work is to demonstrate how global greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction pathways can be downscaled and translated to future national- and landscape-level forecasts of wood demand. The GLOBIOM-forest model (a global spatially explicit forest sector model), which here is used to project the future demand for wood, which in turn can then be coupled with highly detailed national forest planning tools to analyze the multiple dimensions of biodiversity and ecosystem services at the national and landscape scale.